CHFJPY Triangle Price Pattern Breakout

>> Jan 10, 2013


CHFJPY H4 chart. Uptrend. Prices then consolidate towards the 2 EMAs and form a triangle pattern. Wait for prices to bounce off the 2 EMAs and breakout in the direction of the trend.  Enter at breakout and wait patiently to take profit as prices continue in the direction of the trend.

A classical triangle price pattern breakout.

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EURUSD Price Analysis


EURUSD Daily chart above. Prices have broken through the resistance line - magenta color, around 1.3150. This could mean the possibility of more upside for the currency in the coming days. In view of the strong push up, there is likely that prices will retrace back to the magenta line. Waiting to see how prices react before planning for any high probability trades.

Remember, trading is a game of probabilities. Where is is uncertainty in the direct of the trend, wait by the sidelines and preserve your capital. Don't trade unnecessarily. Look for high probability trades.

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EURCAD and AUDJPY Swing Trading

>> Jan 9, 2013

Two trades that are part of my swing trading strategy. Wait for a main trend to develop and then look for opportunities to trade in the direction of the main trend. Wait for price to reverse, enter when it breaks out and and then let it continue with the main trend. Take profit at the right time.

AUDJPY H4 chart below shows nice up trend. Prices reversed to the green 30EMA and bounced back to continue with the main trend. Enter a buy trade after confirmation from the upward bounced of the candle. Note that it is a full body candle indicating strong momentum.


One day later, AUDJPY prices moved up convincingly. Risks is about 70 pips for a profit of about 140 pips. Risk to Reward is 1:2.


EURCAD H4 chart below shows Prices reversed from uptrend to downtrend. Note the EMAs turning as well. Same principle. Wait for price to retrace or swing back and enter when prices resume the main downtrend.



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GBPJPY Swing Trade Analysis


GPBJPY H4 Chart above shows prices on a downtrend as indicated beautifully by the 3 parallel EMAs. 

Swing trading. How? Prices on downtread and then retraced. A short trade was opened at the red candle at a level indicated by the purple bar. After several hours - 2 candle bars, prices showed little movement and momentum as indicated by the 2 spinning top candles. No sure where prices will move given the uncertainty. Hence closed the trade at almost break-even. Do not throw good money down the drain.

Remember trading is a game of probabilities. We can only try to increase the chances of winning by putting in a high probability setup trade but once you put in a trade, you can never know where prices would move. 

Preserving capital is as important as if not more important than not losing.

And one day later, see how prices in the chart below, they have reversed and gone uptrend ! Made the right decision to close trade.



Happy trading!!

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EURUSD Price Analysis


H4 chart of EURUSD above.

Prices have been on uptrend, then flattened and moved in a range and now could be the beginning of a downtrend. See the 3 red arrows how they transitioned from up to flat to down.

Also note the flag price pattern which developed, prices break out of the pattern and moved south. This is a high probability bear trade. 

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EURAUD and AUDCHF Swing Trades

Yesterday I enter 2 trades shown below based on swing trading rules. Both trades are profitable. This is essentially Trend Following trading using price action to enter trades.

EURAUD H4 chart below. Prices on a downtrend. Wait for retracement and enter after confirmation of 2 red bearish candles. These are strong bearish candles with strong momentum. About 45 pips in profit.



EURAUD H4 chart one day later. Close the trade for a good profit. Siple swing trading works.


AUDCHF H4 chart below. Prices on uptrend. Look for temporary reversal of prices. Enter after the engulfing candle. About 40+ pips in profit now.


AUDCHF H4 chart one day later shown below.



Follow the trend using the 30 and 50 EMAs (green and red lines respectively) and use price action to determine the entry. Simple swing trading strategy. Look at the way the candles react and being full bodied candles represent good momentum back in the direction of the main trend.

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Forex Trading Tips

>> Jan 5, 2013

Forex Trading Tips

Adopt and stick to a trend following method. Why?  It is the method which give you the highest probability winning trades. But it is a method which requires lots of patience and discipline… and these are the two things which most people don’t have.

Please remember this is a probability business, just like flipping a coin, hence for sure we will have losers, but it all depends on how well we manage to minimize the losers but maximize the winners.

The newbies may think it takes a long time to place a trade, but remember, we are here to make money not to create a record by placing highest numbers of trades.


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Forex Trading Tips

Forex Trading Tips

If I take a loser I will not trade the entire day.

My dear friends… this is one of the difficult part to practice in this business, because once you lose a trade your frustration level increases which will force you to take another trade without thinking, 99% it will give you another loser. Beware!!

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Forex Trading - Checklist Before Opening a Trade

Forex Trading Checklist Before entering a Trade.

Any Trade should have strong reasons to enter, so ask yourself for reasons, depending on your reasons your confidence level will increase to enter the trade.

Always Plan your trade & Trade according to your plan.

Define your risk before entering the trade.

Take a glance of the bigger picture i.e. higher time frame.

Ensure no red news on the pair.

Ensure to trade with he trend not against it.

Check for good momentum. If momentum is weak in the direction of the trend. Close the trade

Look for the candlestick patternto confirm entry.

Most importantly, keep your emotion in control.

And Finally enter the trade with the positive/winning attitude!

Hope this list helps!!

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Forex Trading Tips

Patience is the virtue, don’t be disappointed when you don’t get a trade or you do not make money… think that you haven’t lost money and stayed out of the market with discipline… 

Staying out of the market is also a trade you know…..

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Forex Trading - The Competency Journey

For All The Newbies.... This Article will show where you stand at the moment in this business.

(Courtesy: Soultrader)


Stage One: Unconscious Incompetence.

This is the first step you take when starting to look into trading. you know that its a good way of making money cos you've heard so many things about it and heard of so many millionaires.Unfortunately, just like when you first desire to drive a car you think it will be easy - after all, how hard can it be?? - price either moves up or down - what's the big secret to that then - lets get cracking!

unfortunately, just as when you first take your place in front of a steering wheel you find very quickly that you haven't got the first clue about what you're trying to do. you take lots of trades and lots of risks. when you enter a trade it turns against you so you reverse and it turns again .. and again, and again.

you try to turn around your losses by doubling up every time you trade - sometimes you'll get away with it but more often than not you will come away scathed and bruised

Well this is stage one - you are totally oblivious to your incompetence at trading.Stage one can last for a week or two of trading but the market is usually swift and you move onto stage two.

Stage Two - Conscious Incompetence

Stage two is where you realise that there is more work involved in this and that you might actually have to work a few things out.

you consciously realise that you are an incompetent trader - you don't have the skills or the insight to turn a regular profit.

During this phase you will buy systems and e-books galore, read websites based everywhere from Russia to the Ukraine. and begin your search for the holy grail.

During this time you will be a system whore - you will flick from method to method day by day and week by week never sticking with one long enough to actually see if it does work. every time you came upon a new indicator you'll be ecstatic that this is the one that will make all the difference.

you will test out automated systems on Meta-trader, you'll play with moving averages, Fibonacci lines, support & resistance, Pivots, Fractals, Divergence, DMI, ADX, and a hundred other things all in the vein hope that your 'magic system' starts today.

you'll be a top and bottom picker, trying to find the exact point of reversal with your indicators and you'll find yourself chasing losing trades and even adding to them cos you are so sure you are right.

You'll go into the live chat room and see other traders making pips and you want to know why it's not you - you'll ask a million questions, some of which are so dumb that looking back you feel a bit silly. You'll then reach the point where you think all the ones who are calling pips after pips are liars - they cant be making that amount cos you've studied and you don't make that, you know as much as they do and they must be lying. but they're in there day after day and their account just grows whilst yours falls.

You will be like a teenager - the traders that make money will freely give you advice but you're stubborn and think that you know best - you take no notice and over leverage your account even though everyone says you are mad to - but you know better.

you'll consider following the calls that others make but even then it wont work so you try paying for signals from someone else - they don't work for you either.

This phase can last ages and ages - in fact in reality it can last well over a year - My own period lasted about 18 months.

Eventually you do begin to come out of this phase. You've probably committed more time and money than you ever thought you would, lost 2 or 3 loaded accounts and all but given up maybe 3 or 4 times.

Then comes stage 3

Stage 3 - The Eureka Moment

Towards the end of stage two you begin to realise that it's not the system that is making the difference.

you realise that its actually possible to make money with a simple moving average and nothing else IF you can get your head and money management right

You start to read books on the psychology of trading and identify with the characters portrayed in those books.

Finally comes the eureka moment.

The eureka moment causes a new connection to be made in your brain.

you suddenly realise that neither you, nor anyone else can accurately predict what the market will do in the next ten seconds, never mind the next 20 mins.

You start to work just one system that you mould to your own way of trading, you're starting to get happy and you define your risk threshold.

You start to take every trade that your 'edge' shows has a good probability of winning with.

when the trade turns bad you don't get angry or even because you know in your head that as you couldn't possibly predict it it isn't your fault - as soon as you realise that the trade is bad you close it . The next trade will have higher odds of success cos you know your simple system works.

You have realised in an instant that the trading game is about one thing - consistency of your 'edge' and your discipline to take all the trades no matter what.

You learn about proper money management and leverage - risk of account etc etc - and this time it actually soaks in and you think back to those who advised the same thing a year ago with a smile

you weren't ready then, but you are now.

The eureka moment came the moment that you truly accepted that you cannot predict the market.

Then comes stage four

Stage 4 - Conscious Competence

Ok, now you are making trades whenever your system tells you to.

you take losses just as easily as you take wins

you now let your winners run to their conclusion fully accepting the risk and knowing that your system makes more money than it loses and when you're on a loser you close it swiftly with little pain to your account

You are now at a point where you break even most of the time - day in day out, you will have weeks where you make 100 pips and weeks where you lose 100 pips - generally you are breaking even and not losing money.

you are now conscious of the fact that you are making calls that are generally good and you are getting respect from other traders as you chat the day away.

You still have to work at it and think about your trades but as this continues you begin to make more money than you lose consistently.

you'll start the day on a 20 pip win, take a 35 pip loss and have no feelings that you've given those pips back because you know that it will come back again.

you will now begin to make consistent pips week in and week out 25 pips one week, 50 the next and so on.

this lasts about 6 months

then comes Stage Five

Stage Five - Unconscious Competence

Now were cooking - just like driving a car, every day you get in your seat and trade - you do everything now on an unconscious level.

you are running on autopilot. You start to pick the really big trades and getting 100 pips in a day is becoming quite normal to you.

This is trading utopia - you have mastered your emotions and you are now a trader with a rapidly growing account.

you're a star in the trading chat room and people listen to what you say. you recognise yourself in their questions from about two years ago.

you pass on your advice but you know most of it is futile cos they're teenagers - some of them will get to where you are - some will do it fast and others will be slower - literally dozens and dozens will never get past stage two but a few will.

Trading is no longer exciting - in fact it's probably boring you to bits - like everything in life when you get good at it or do it for your job - it gets boring - you're doing your job and that's that.

You can now say with your head held high "I'm a currency trader"


Thanks Mr. Soultrader!

Hope this was helpful.

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Forex Robots

>> Aug 15, 2011

FOREX ROBOTS : WHAT ARE THEY?

Forex robots automated for trading of currency markets have become increasingly popular over the past few years. But what are forex robots? It is essentially an automated forex trading system or a forex signals software that reads the steps of your trading algorithm It acts and operates just like a professional trader. It is used by both new traders and existing traders.
Some traders like this kind of automated forex trading instead of needing to enter all their trades by hand and requiring to manually operate the trading process. They need not devote a great deal of time supervising and watching the current market.

So what do you think? Sounds good?

To make it easy, many brokers today allow us the use of robots for automated trading and what more can you ask for that some brokers even facilitate you with the coding-language required to write these robots.

These forex robots are written in a very popular language ‘Meta-quote’ available on your meta-trader platform where the script of the robot can easily be loaded onto your platform.

If you wish to automate your trading, you could write your own algorithm and then have it converted to a robot with the help of a programmer. Today there are many programmers who can make the robot for you at very reasonable prices. The good thing is, you get is your own robot, with your own rules, your intelligence and your own abilities.

Of course there’s the risk of losing your intellectual property when you share your system with a programmer. Don’t forget that you would also be sharing it with your broker. As good systems spread like crazy, most of the traders are possessive about their systems. These are the issues you have to consider.
However, if the use of your own Forex robot that makes you a fully successful trader and you achieve that super-exclusive freedom, maybe it is only a small price if it demands certain sharing and compromises on your intellectual property.

BUT … WHAT CAN THEY DO?

A Forex robot does precisely what you would do in the markets if you were to manually login, read the markets and place your trades. Given the rules of perfect trade opportunities and clearly-defined principles of risk-management/position-sizing, these robots can easily eliminate the possibility of making a human error in your trading judgment.

Great … they don’t make mistakes!

After this, it is this robot that will take your place as a trader and handle your account for you as per your rules, as long as you want. So your Job in the end is to only keep opening new accounts, feed some money in it, load your robots and leave the rest to your robot intelligence. Once you have a Robot, the only requirement would to be to keep your computer switched on all the time but now-a-days, even that’s not critical.

Sure it makes life easy ….

Automated forex trading robots can win your trades even in your absence and thus with these robots it is now possible to make money even when you are in a vacation with your family. These robots also help you to minimize your loss in the market as they tend to work accordingly to the market behavior.

Sounds good.

These automated forex softwares would enable you to have back test results of your various trading parameters and witness their performance as most of these robots have back test results which are captured after making a large number of trades.

A powerful forex trading robot has the potential to scan even one-hundred years old data in less than just an hour and can present a detailed report on your system-performance and potential success of it. Furthermore, the robot can also easily optimize your system based on its maximum possible draw-downs, average-wins and average-losses and suggest you the ‘even-better’ rules.
Of course, you always want to keep experimenting or improving with your new systems that you make but do not feel like manually testing the old-charts. A robot does this job for you where you just need to indicate an old date and the robot will back-test with the retrospective effect.

So far so good …

NOW … WHY USE THEM?

We know that the foreign exchange market is indeed a huge market and with over $3 trillion transacted every day and the chance of getting large money is significant. But sadly, studies on the market also report that only 5% of the traders in this field are enjoying significant profit. This clearly shows that beginners and naive traders are finding it tough to survive in the market.
They make mistakes when it comes to following the market and analyzing the charts. Sound familiar right? So some traders make use of forex robots to help them in their trading. A successful trader knows how much of hard-work and commitment is required in identifying each profitable trade and then converting it to profits. This hard work, at a certain stage, tends to test your patience and changes your mind on your rules, hence bringing in losses.
Undoubtedly computers are more efficient when it comes to accuracy and power. Thus with the help of computerized programs, these fully automated FOREX robots can perform your trade with greater accuracy. These robots do not feel tiredness or boredom so they can work 24*7 unlike human beings. Unlike human traders who can’t possibly watch the markets for every minute that they are open and need to sleep to refresh their thought processes. A trading robot is always fresh.

A forex trading robot can be used to control and mange more than one forex trading account at a time. A trader is therefore able to diversify his capital and not risk it all on one particular strategy. Also some traders like to manually trade themselves but don’t feel comfortable in trading all their capital this way and prefer to split it between themselves and an automated trading system. By this traders seek to maximize their profits.

Automated forex robots have high computational powers and greater analyzing capabilities and thus can easily outperform an average human analyzing the minute details from FOREX graphs.

The trader is able to configure the robot in any way he prefers. He has control over the amount of each trade, the stop loss entry points, the limit profit entry points, the pip count for a trailing stop and the number and types of currency pairs. In addition the forex robot bases all its decisions on mathematics and statistics and doesn’t have any feelings which could get in the way of a logical decision.

In summary, there are several advantages to using a forex robot. They are:
• 100% automated – Since the robots automate all the tasks, you won’t have to be sitting in front of your computer for hours a day and it will give you more time to do what you want to do.

• Avoid repetitive tasks – You’ll avoid having to do number crunching and other repetitive tasks that can take the fun out of trading.

• Remove emotions – one of the biggest problems with implementing forex trading systems is that many times in the heat of battle people don’t stick to them. With a robot automating all your tasks you don’t have to worry about losing control and making bad decisions. This makes them great for scalping and forex day trading.

• Minimal knowledge to run – a forex autopilot robot will only require you to have a minimal knowledge of the forex market to take advantage of it. They’re a great way for people to get started in the market without needing a lot of experience

• Diversify your capital – You can open several accounts and trade them with different strategies using different robots to maximize your profits; this is not possible with manual trading.

WHAT ARE THE RISKS?

With these robots getting increasingly more popular, many are starting to flood the market. Thus the probability of choosing a bogus robot is increasing and you need to be very careful when you are going for an automated trading robot. Though these automated robots help you in winning trades these don’t come without risks and demerits.

Also, many of these trading robots are not cheap and can be quite expensive. As there are many robots to choose from it is quite hard for a trader to know which one to choose which is comfortable for them.

Most of these propriety robots allow you to trade only a particular pair of currency and do not guarantee results if you change the parameters on your own. Also these propriety robots take entire control of the trade and thus you can’t improve or equip yourself with more knowledge unless you analyze the results obtained from these robots.

Your computer needs to be working 24 hours a day on the internet and could be prone to virus attacks are crashing internet sessions. Not all brokers trade with all the robots so your earnings could be limited. It might be a problem to configure the robot to perform to the best of its abilities and might even cause a malfunction that could be expensive for the trader

BEFORE YOU PURCHASE A FOREX ROBOT …

Now before you dash out to purchase a trading robot, do more research first, look for sites with forex robot reviews, and check which will give the best forex signals.


Ok, interested ? … Let me now introduce you to a simple proven winning forex strategy. It's found at my webite "Money Making Forex Strategy"

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Why Trade Forex?

>> May 10, 2011


Why do I trade Forex?

Because this is the “BEST” business you can ever find.

The currency trading or forex market is the biggest and fastest growing market on earth. Its daily turnover is more than 2.5 trillion dollars. The participants in this market are banks, organizations, investors and private individuals, just like you and me. Today with the help of the internet anyone can take advantage of on-line currency trading that was once reserved to an exclusive group.

In forex trading, there is:

1. No need to hire staff
You are free from hiring and firing headaches, no need to think of salary schemes or staff motivation or job fit and job rotation. There is no need to deal with a host of personnel problems.

2. No rental of office space
Most businesses need some sort of office space and some can be rather expensive. Not for forex. You can trade anywhere. You do not need to pay any deposits for office space rental, no refurbishing costs, cleaning and renovation works.

3. No inventory to buy
In forex, there is no need to worry about shrinkage or theft of inventory and no "slow moving" items. Yes, no massive amount of funds tied up in inventory. No worries about lost items, shipment delays and storage facilities.

4. No large volumes of paperwork
You can say bye-bye to all the filing work and red tape associated with office work. No need to write reports and papers. You are freed from all these administrative functions, marketing worries and auditing controls.

5. No large capital needed
The initial capital is very low: $500.00 can open a mini account with a broker to trade. That $500.00 in the stock exchange can only buy a few stocks not worth the trip to the bourse. But in Forex trading, with a leverage of 100:1, the same $500.00 can put into the market $50,000, opening a tremendous opportunity to profit from a slight movement of the market.

6. Great portability - can do this business anywhere in the world with your laptop or smart phone

7. Great flexibility - can conduct the business at your own time. The markets are opened 24 hours. There's not need to train the train to work, no need to rush with the crowds during the rush hour. You can have a longer lunch if you like. the markets are always there for you. If you miss opening a trade, there's always another one coming your way.

8. Great autonomy - can shut it down anytime you like.

9. Great leverage
Only Forex trading can offer such great leverage amounts, not equity trading (2:1), nor commodity futures (15:1 max), or any other. This leverage level (100:1) the opportunity to play with real money is what attracts many into rading forex. Hence you can borrow huge amounts of money by increasing your leverage

10. Great rewards –
You can have consistent profits month after month, year after year provided you know how to trade. In forex, the potential for growth and making gains is greater than most investments. With a limited amount of capital, you would watch it grow to a sizable nest egg.

And you can run a multi-multimillion dollar business from your laptop.

Forex Trading is the Future


Ok, let’s move on … Let me now introduce you to this simple proven winning forex strategy. It's found at my webite "Money Making Forex Strategy"

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